Environmentalism and the American Way
A very interesting read by Janet Smith, found in the Southern Poverty Law Center’s Intelligence Report, highlights common attitudes on environmentalism among the U.S. ‘Far Right.’ The piece is probably well worth your time, but here are some highlights:
“Environment is not about saving nature,” the founder of Freedom Advocates, Michael Shaw, sternly warned an audience of antigovernment “Patriots” and far-right conspiracy theorists during a mid-July conference. “It’s about a revolutionary coup in America. [Environmentalism] is to establish global governance and abandon the principles of Natural Law.” Sustainable development policies, Shaw argued, will require “a police state” and ultimately “turn America into a globally governed homeland where humans are treated as biological resources.” . . .
. . .
This year’s conference linked up several of the far right’s bogeymen into one giant whopper of a conspiracy about sustainable development policies that attempt to protect the earth for future generations. The basic thesis pushed at Freedom 21 was that the Security and Prosperity Partnership (SPP), a trade agreement between Canada, Mexico and the U.S. that includes some environmental requirements, is part of a nefarious and secret plan to merge the U.S, Canada and Mexico into something called the “North American Union” (NAU) — an entity which does not, in fact, exist, and has never been planned, despite the hysterical warnings of conspiracy theorists like Corsi.
The NAU, these theorists insist, will bring with it global government, and, most horrible of all, sustainable development policies. Sustainable development is the real evil lurking in the shadows of global government, according to the conference’s organizers; a wolf in sheep’s clothing, environmental policies really exist to destroy Americans’ freedoms and system of government.
“Freedom cannot be sustained in the presence of ‘sustainable development.’ The two concepts are mutually exclusive,” Freedom 21 materials insist. “Sustainable development can exist only when people are controlled by government.” . . .
My penchant for dark humor compels me to ask these people in exactly what ways they feel they are not currently being “controlled” by one of the most bellicose, plutocratic, anti-democratic governments in the world.
Among other charges leveled at environmental activists—even at mere oxygen-breathing enthusiasts, one almost feels—was that of ‘pantheism,’ and thereby the severing of humankind from God’s word. Sheesh.
Yet, underneath the cacophonous hysteria, it bears mentioning that the ‘patriots’ at Freedom 21 are actually hinting at a fairly salient fundamental point about the human living condition, one which their obstinacy unfortunately obscures.
Perhaps the most important lesson that environmentalism teaches us—a lesson well-known (and sometimes learned the hard way) among primitive peoples for countless ages—is that ‘freedom’ is a relative concept. We should strive to be as free as possible in the most meaningful imaginable sense, but with the knowledge that we cannot be absolutely free to do as we wish if we are to leave future generations an Earth which is worth inhabiting. If that is ‘Earth worship,’ please count me in among the heathen pagans who are, out of the very sort of patriotism we are accused of sorely lacking, ready and willing to admit that the so-called ‘American Way’ has, in more ways than one, frequently proved far from the best way in dealing with matters interior and exterior.
A Collection of Fractal Flythroughs
I love me some recursion, folks. Hopefully you’ll enjoy these fractal animations I’ve gleaned and compiled from YouTube. The music is, in my humble opinion, much more forgettable than the video in some instances—but your ears are not mine, so perhaps you’ll hear something I don’t. As for the graphics, though: get out your Mandelbrot Brand spectacles. Enjoy the turbulence while it lasts.
Far more than mere shimmering pretties, fractals are geometric patterns which have fine structure at arbitrarily small scales such that the structure is at least approximately recursive to the shape of the whole. Some examples of naturally occurring fractals include snowflakes, lightning bolts, tree branches, fern leaves [ed. okay, fern fronds]—in fact, fractals seem to be integral to the geometric expression of natural forms in any direction you happen to be looking (the link is to the Wikipedia article with excellent illustrations and explanations). The principle of recursion is fundamental to number theory and has been gaining the attention of mathematicians and cosmologists at least since the days of Leibniz, and increasingly so since the exploits of Benoit Mandelbrot and in this age of all things electro-graphical.
By the Light of the Bloody Moon
Check out Aussie photographer Steve Selbst’s incomparable capture of the moon during last month’s total eclipse (pic links to artist’s page on Flickr).
The eclipse of August 28, 2007 was especially noteworthy because of its unusual length, clocking in at over an hour and a half in the depths of the shadow. It was not visible throughout Europe, Africa, and western Asia; in the Americas we caught it just as the moon was setting and the sun was coming up in the morning, while east Asia and Australia had been treated earlier, at moonrise. No one really got to see this eclipse in full glory, but it was very interesting in its orientation near the horizon, nonetheless.
The next total eclipse of the moon will occur on February 21, 2008. Its totality will last only about 51 minutes, but it will be at least mostly visible to the entirety of the world except east Asia and Australia.
If you caught wind of those ridiculous emails claiming that, on August 27, the planet Mars was going to be so close to Earth as to appear “about the same size as the moon,” et cetera, ad nauseum, take heart—snopes.com has a thorough exposé on the subject. Mars did come unusually close to Earth in August of 2003, but even at such a unique perigee, the red planet still appeared as little more than an auspiciously bright point in the heavens. If you ever do happen to catch a moon-sized Mars in the sky, well . . . it’s probably fair warning to have that last beer for old times’ sake.
Keepin’ it in the Family
Biologists from Canada’s McMaster University have published a study which shows that at least some plants, though they of course lack cognitive abilities, are nonetheless capable of exhibiting what humans might interpret as social behaviors. The subjects of the study showed a strong preference towards being planted with sibling specimens; the scientists say they did not get along so well with ‘strangers.’
From Press Esc:
Plants are able to recognise their siblings, according to a study appearing today in the Royal Society journal Biology Letters.
Researchers at McMaster University have found that plants get fiercely competitive when forced to share their pot with strangers of the same species, but they’re accommodating when potted with their siblings. . .
Plight of the Honeybee
About a week ago I spent a warm afternoon at a creek in Bankhead National Forest. I’d sat for some time gazing at the surface of the water and listening to the hawks, and was just about to stand up so as to answer the call of nature, if you will, when a large bee buzzed in from out of nowhere. It hovered inquisitively a few inches from my nose. Hanging between fascination with the moment and my hopes to avoid a sting on the face, I motionlessly marveled at the intricacy of the bee’s anatomy—the delicate yellow banding, creepy-cool eyes, and bee fuzz. Did you know bees are fuzzy? I didn’t. I might have learned more; but the queen must have been calling, for my little interrogator soon darted away as unexpectedly as it had arrived. I wondered what it had been doing so far away from any other bees.
Half of the known bee population of the United States has disappeared over the course of the last thirty-five years. There are numerous documented and suspected causes for this decline, to include parasitic infestation, pesticide use, and habitat destruction. But, as Reclaiming Space wrote earlier this month, the past several years (and, most particularly, the past year) have seen declines unprecedented in size and scope. It appears that the rapid and unexplained disappearance of whole populations of bees—known currently as Colony Collapse Disorder (CCD) and previously as Fall Dwindle Disease—is also being documented throughout much of Europe. The threats to human agriculture are significant, with some US states reporting 2006 population declines as high as 75%. While grain staples are normally pollinated by wind, over 80 cultivated fruit, nut, and vegetable crops rely on feral or commercially farmed bees for pollination. The long-running decline has been a factor in the persistent elevation of some food prices throughout the US and other parts of the world, an impact which is certain to increase in magnitude as more colonies are found “dead-out.” Dr. Diane Cox-Foster of Pennsylvania State University, a member of the CCD Working Group investigating the phenomenon, has said that the consequences of continued decline could spell devastation for a number of food crops.
Colony Collapse Disorder is a process through which a previously healthy colony can die out over a period of time as little as three weeks. In colonies that are found to be in the process of collapse, the workforce is inadequate in size and seems to be made up almost entirely of young bees. The bees are reluctant to consume provided feed, which is unusual. After collapse, there are very few to no adult bees remaining in the colony. The brood remains unhatched, and there are food stores present. Curiously, though, invasive species which would be expected to relish just such a find are not observed to rob the dead colony of its riches, or do so only hesitantly; this suggests to researchers that the colony has been rendered toxic in some way. It’s an apiary Jamestown over and over again. The lights are on, but no one is home.
All indications are that the CCD epidemic is likely the result of a number of causes. Because the recent declines have been so severe, they have garnered a greater than usual measure of attention from academia and the media. Some researchers have suggested that power lines and cell phone signals may be to blame, as studies have shown that the proximity of either to a hive can affect <badpun>beehavior</badpun>. However, the vast majority of dead colonies studied have exhibited signs of multiple diseases, which would suggest that deficient immune response is likely a factor, and no links between the potentially detrimental effects of electromagnetic radiation and such immune weakness has been conclusively established. Furthermore, because less severe but certainly significant and persistent declines have been observed over the past several decades—and some say as far back as 1896—it is not likely that an explanation concerning technology that is unique to the past decade or two is adequate.
Mites such as verroa have proven to be the bee’s most prolific nemeses since such things began to be studied, and international commerce has spread a number of such species beyond the zones to which they are endemic. Likewise, parasitic microorganisms are transferred globally in the same way, into bee populations that are not immune to them.
The chemical treatment of genetically modified and non-GM seeds with insecticides (such as imidacloprid) is also being investigated as a potential cause, since the pollen produced by treated plants has been found in many cases to contain traces of such chemicals. While ongoing, this research has been less than promising; most of the pertinent studies of affected colonies in the United States and in Germany, for instance, have involved specimens from areas where GM crops are not generally present. While it is believed that certain chemicals used in or resulting from the processing of these seeds are potentially detrimental to insect health, the phenomenology of CCD cannot be easily reconciled to just such a cause, at least not based on the research that has been done to date.
Some researchers have speculated that new and previously undocumented parasites or diseases could be major culprits. Nosema apis (pictured) is a well-known protozoan that can infect the digestive tracts of bees. In 2006 US researchers discovered nosema ceranae, a new species which has been found in many, but not all, CCD-afflicted colonies. They say that adult desertion of the colony is a characteristic of severe ceranae infection, which is consistent with observation.
I must preface this by intimating that I am not an entomologist. That being duly noted, my own secondary research indicates that neither cell-phone signals nor GM seeds, the most politically charged environmental hazards yet considered as explanations for CCD, is very likely to blame, at least not significantly or exclusively, for this fierce and deep decline in the populations of American and European bees. That does not mean we’ve no room for improvement, not in the least. Human commerce provides free global transport for certain bee parasites, and, based on all observations and analyses to date, it is in this respect that our own lifestyles can most soundly be inferred to be contributory to the decline in question. Some of us are a little loose with the herbicides and pesticides from time to time—our dandelionless lawns stand as testament. Additionally, bee breeding practices in the US are such that only a few hundred breeder queens are used to produce the millions of hive queens commercially available to farmers in search of pollinators, and this could result in genetic “bottlenecking,” which would be expected to have generally detrimental effects upon the immune capacities of bee populations. It is extremely interesting that the imported “Africanized” bees now common to the US southwest do not appear to be nearly so susceptible to CCD as are endemic species—thusfar I haven’t seen any original field research on the possibility that these bees may carry a pathogen to which native bees are not immune. Invasions by imported fire ants are thought to have been responsible for the decimation of ground-nesting bees throughout much of the southern US in recent years.
In short, the plight of the honeybee is an issue to be taken seriously. The complexity of the problem demands research, particularly to the end of remedies. Scientists need to understand what is causing CCD in order to develop strategies with which to cope, but such research should not be used for the purposes of scapegoating, at least not until the picture is much clearer. The long-term effects of pollinator shortage could be potentially severe, even catastrophic in a worst-case scenario, as Einstein famously noted. For now, the consumer can expect, at the very least, continued rises in the prices of affected crops.
Links:
NPR – Bee Decline Threatens Farm Economy (Oct 2006)
University of Florida – CCD in Honeybees
Wikipedia – Colony Collapse Disorder
Global Warming for the Skeptical, or the Merely Inquisitive
Last month the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (that’s an international group of peer-reviewed scientists—not cabinet ministers, congressmen, or oil lobbyists, n.b.) released the summary of its fourth assessment report on the topic of global climate change. The analysis is both quantitative and qualitative, discussing how much is changing, what is changing, and why it is changing.
The latest report takes advantage of both more precise physical observations and data collection as well as a better understanding of the data provided by computer models. It is the most sophisticated and circumspect collection of analyses and projections available to humanity.
You can view the summary here (PDF). Below I’ve extracted some of the information that I found most interesting and revelatory.
What does all of this data mean? I’m not in a position to pontificate, although I have wildly gesticulated in the past.
I will merely say that it seems to me that common sense dictates:
- Global warming is a matter which is of concern to our generation not only because of the immediate manifestations of its effects—which are felt most harshly in the less-developed world, not in air-conditioned suburbia—but because of future manifestations. This is because the industrial activity of today generates the climatic fallout of tomorrow. It is precisely because of this slow-motion reaction that the danger is so easy to ignore. In this respect, response to global warming can be viewed as an extremely important test of the ability of humanity to organize and act on behalf of future generations. This is a skill which is altogether foreign to the capitalist/imperialist ideal, and a skill which has never before been of such urgent importance to the well-being of life on Earth.
- It is important for citizens to petition their governments to act decisively in enforcing regulations on industries which contribute to global warming and pollution. Will these regulations restrict economic activity in certain sectors? Will jobs be lost? Absolutely. Is that too high a price to pay for the continuation of an environment which is conducive to complex life? Hardly. We are faced with a situation in which we must bear unpleasant responsibility for a cultural dysfunction for which we are not personally responsible in the generative sense. It’s strange that this sort of altruism is the basis for much proud flag-waving and militarism when it is perverted to the uses of nationalist profiteering pursuits such as warfare, wherein it is lauded as “proud sacrifice” or something similar, and yet is viewed by many as hardly worthwhile when it needs to be applied to the future health of the entire planet.
- Even more important is individual responsibility and accountability in developing sustainable lifestyles. Clearly the automobile-driven lifestyle is a primary culprit in hydrocarbon emissions, so the elimination of unnecessary fuel consumption and participation in biopowered transportation and public transit are helpful. Likewise, opting for low-energy devices in the home and the pursuit of local, unprocessed foodstuffs and other goods are positive contributions that the average person can make. Furthermore, raising the issue as widely and as intelligently as possible is one of the most productive enterprises in which one can engage. Don’t look to the government for solutions. Create your own, and be proud of them. Make some noise; then the government will react and take credit for the initiative.
Let’s have a look at some of this data.
The most reliable data on atmospheric conditions before the period when such data began to be measured in real time comes from Antarctic ice cores. Just as geologists can tell much about conditions on Earth in a given geologic period by examining the differences in strata of rock, climatologists can also discern, with a surprisingly high degree of precision, the climate conditions from a given period by examining strata of unexposed ice which are known to have been deposited at a given rate. Through this type of analysis, climatologists have been able to reconstruct temperature and atmospheric composition data for the past several hundreds of thousands of years.
The graph below is a composite of changes in atmospheric greenhouse gas levels as recorded in the ice cores over the past ten thousand years, and as recorded by active human measurement of atmospheric levels over the past several years. The red lines show the contemporary data collected from real time atmospheric sampling; the other colors represent various interpretations of the ice core data and so naturally extend back much further in time. Note that, while the ice core-derived values from the different studies vary slightly, they coincide with one another remarkably as to the general trend of increase. Pictured are carbon dioxide levels (parts per million) and methane and nitrous oxide levels (parts per billion):
Since the graphs cover a large expanse of time, the last several centuries of activity are presented in exploded views. You can see that carbon dioxide levels, for instance, have risen from roughly 300 to about 375 parts per million in the last century, compared to a net increase of about thirty parts per million over the previous ten thousand years.
The following graph shows changes in average temperature, sea level, and snow cover in the northern hemisphere from various periods ending in 2000. The changes are relative to averages from the period of 1961-1990.
The solid black lines represent decadal averages of values; the circles indicate plotted annual values and the blue shaded regions represent reasonable uncertainty resulting from these discrepancies. This data was obtained entirely from real time human measurement.
Next, a depiction of changes in regional average temperature changes from 1900 to 2000 is presented. The black lines represent decadal averages of actual observations of temperatures. Here is the important twist: the pink shaded areas represent ranges of values derived from computer models which included anthropogenic forcing of climate shift (models which accounted for industrial activity.) The blue shaded areas represent ranges of values derived from computer models which did not include human industrial activity. You can see that, particularly from about 1950 forward, the actual observations follow models which included human industrial activity much more closely than those which did not. This means that, according to an array of a total of 33 simulations, it is virtually certain that the rises in temperature experienced throughout the past half-century to century are explicitly associated with human industrial activity. Put another way, absent of human emissions of greenhouse gases, we could expect to have seen temperature changes within the blue shaded areas. Unfortunately this has not been the case, as the trajectories of the black lines clearly denote.
Now, let’s talk about the future. This last graph represents a variety of predictions of changes in surface temperature from the present up through the year 2100, based on computer simulations of several different scenarios, each scenario reflecting a different projection of rates of increase in atmospheric greenhouse gases based on projections of increasing economic/industrial activity, population increases, and other variables. The orange line represents values from an experiment at which greenhouse gas concentrations were frozen at the levels observed in the year 2000.
Please review the assessment report summary (link at top) for a description of each of these projected scenarios (page 18/18). Based on these values, it is reasonable to project an increase in average global surface temperature of 4-6º C by the year 2200 or of 6-8º C by the year 2300 if human emissions are not drastically and permanently reduced in the immediate future. Such temperature increases and the associated climatic changes, if not prevented, will very likely result in massive depopulation and extinction of thousands of species of plant and animal life. This prediction is based on climate change alone, without consideration of environmental compositional degradation (pollution, urban sprawl) associated with human industrial activities and population increase.
Here are some various observations/predictions based on the IPCC’s fourth assessment:
- Eleven of the past twelve years (1995 – 2006) rank among the twelve warmest years in the instrumental record of global surface temperature (since 1850.) … Urban heat island effects are real but local, and have a negligible influence (less than 0.006º C per decade) on these values.
- The average atmospheric water vapour content has increased since at least the 1980s over land and ocean as well as in the upper troposhere. The increase is broadly consistent with the extra water vapour that warmer air can hold.
- Observations since 1961 show that the average temperature of the global ocean has increased to depths of at least 3000 m and that the ocean has been absorbing more than 80% of the heat added to the climate system. Such warming causes seawater to expand, contributing to sea level rise.
- Average Arctic temperatures increased at almost twice the global average rate in the past 100 years.
- It is virtually certain that the 21st Century will be marked by warmer and fewer cold days and nights over most land areas.
- It is virtually certain that the 21st Century will be marked by warmer and more frequent hot days and nights over most land areas.
- It is very likely that the 21st Century will be marked by an increasing frequency in heat waves over most land areas.
- It is very likely that the 21st Century will be marked by an increasing frequency in heavy precipitation events over most land areas [such as the extreme snow accumulations experienced in the eastern U.S. this winter -ed].
- It is likely that in the 21st Century the geographical areas affected by drought will increase in size.
- It is likely that in the 21st Century there will be an increase in intense tropical cyclone activity.
- It is likely that in the 21st Century there will be an increased incidence of extreme high sea levels, excluding those which can be accounted for by tsunamis.
- Average northern hemisphere temperatures during the second half of the 20th Century were very likely higher than during any other 50-year period in the last 500 years and very likely the highest in at least the past 1300 years.
- It is likely that increases in greenhouse gas concentrations alone would have caused more warming than observed because volcanic and anthropogenic aerosols have offset some warming that would otherwise have taken place.
- The observed widespread warming of the atmosphere and ocean, together with ice mass loss, support the conclusion that it is extremely unlikely that the global climate change of the past fifty years can be explained without external forcing and very likely that it is not due to known natural causes alone.
- Warming tends to reduce land and ocean uptake of atmospheric carbon dioxide, increasing the fraction of anthropogenic emissions that remains in the atmosphere.
- Increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations leads to increasing acidification of the oceans.
- Snow cover is projected to contract.
- Sea ice is projected to shrink in both the Arctic and Antarctic under all SRES scenarios. In some projections, Arctic late-summer sea ice disappears almost entirely by the latter part of the 21st Century.
- Climate carbon cycle coupling is expected to add carbon dioxide to the atmosphere as the climate system warms, but the magnitude of this feedback is uncertain … Based on current understanding of climate carbon cycle feedback, model studies suggest that to stabilize at 450 ppm CO2, could require cumulative emissions over the 21st Century to be reduced from an average of approximately 670 GtC to approximately 490 GtC.
- Contraction of the Greenland Ice Sheet is projected to continue to contribute to sea level rise after 2100.
- Both past and future anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions will continue to contribute to warming and sea level rise for more than a millennium, due to the timescale required for removal of this gas from the atmosphere.
The Working Group of the IPCC which prepared this report is composed of more than fifty independent authors. [correction—in addition to the authors referenced on the summary frontispiece, the working group contains hundreds of additional researchers and representatives of industry and government bodies.]
After one look at this planet any visitor from outer space would say
“I want to see the manager.”
– William S. Burroughs
When the well’s dry, we know the worth of water.
– Benjamin Franklin
Peter Norvig’s Experiment on the Climate Change Consensus
Global Warming Facts: Top 50 Things to Do to Stop Global Warming
Union of Concerned Scientists – ExxonMobil’s Disinformation Campaign on Global Warming Science
Sierra Club of Canada – 10 Popular Myths About Global Warming
UNEP – World Environment Day 2007
The Ecologist Online – How Mankind Is Sleepwalking to the End of the Earth
An Inconvenient Truth – climatecrisis.org
The Guardian – Arctic Ocean May Lose All Its Ice by 2040, Disrupting Global Weather
The Boston Review – Phaeton’s Reins – The human hand in climate change
BBC: The Stern Review at a Glance
Environmental Defense – Shifting Gears: Cars and Global Warming
Center for Biological Diversity – Bush Administration Issues Polar Bear Gag Order
EcoBridge – Causes of Global Warming
TheRealNews.com – Interview with David Suzuki
Foreign Policy in Focus – Going Green
Wired News – New Carbon Dioxide Tracking Developed
Wikipedia – Martin Durkin (producer, The Great Global Warming Swindle)
Greenpeace – The Energy Revolution
Yahoo! News – Canadian Activist Given Hearing on Global Warming/Human Rights
Bill McKibben – The Gospel vs. Global Warming
Carbon Footprint – Calculate Your Carbon Footprint
Project Earth – Tour the Wounded Earth
UN: Deforestation Out of Control
The United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) has released a report indicating that improvements in forestation stability and recovery among developed nations are being negated by “out of control” slash-and-burn agriculture in less-developed countries, primarily in Africa, the Caribbean, and Central and South America.
Forests in the developing world still suffer from widespread deforestation primarily caused by unregulated slash and burn farming practices and uncontrolled forest fires.
“Deforestation continues at an unacceptable rate,” said Wulf Killmann, a forestry expert at the FAO who helped compile the report, adding that the world currently loses approximately 32 million acres of forest cover a year.
Africa, Latin America and the Caribbean are currently the regions with the highest losses.
Africa, which accounts for about 16 per cent of the world’s forests, lost more than 9 per cent of its trees between 1990 and 2005, the FAO said. In Latin America and the Caribbean, home to nearly half of the world’s forests, 0.5 per cent of the forests were lost every year between 2000 and 2005 – up from an annual net rate of 0.46 per cent in the 1990s.
Of particular concern is the future of the Amazon rain forest of Brazil. The Amazon has been shrinking for quite some time, but Brazil’s aggressive ethanol production may claim the rain forest at an increasing rate, particularly if Brazil becomes a major supplier to hungry economies like that of the United States. President Bush recently met with Brazilian President da Silva to discuss ethanol policy. While hefty U.S. tariffs currently make the import of Brazilian ‘clean’ fuel unfeasible—the U.S. favors its own corn-based ethanol, which requires large amounts of fossil fuels during its production process, over Brazil’s much neater cane-based product—a shift in this policy could spell doom for huge tracts of Amazonia and the many thousands of species that call it home.
Deforestation negatively impacts the biosphere as a whole because forests are key in regulating atmospheric CO2 and in producing fresh oxygen. Furthermore, the burning of forests releases huge amounts of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere.
It seems clear that the primary solution is not alternative energy. It’s less energy.
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